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@Fenders--HEY!!! lol
Yes..interesting article, great pictures! But is this real? I didn't see his first name, just Mr. Aas....then with a google search found Einar Aas described as a never seen non-flashy interview-less phantom trader that was extremely successful but rarely had money because he loved to gamble. As his wealth grew he became the largest tax payer of his country that supplied large amounts of money that helped his country's public system. Unfortunately, his gambling ways seemed to bleed into his trading ways and soon he found himself BROKE....and along with his brokeness came no tax dollars that left public programs with a lot less dollars--easy come easy go was one comment.
Non-flashy guy, big time trader but likes to gamble and losses big? Buys big home on the shore and all other adjoining properties to protect his families privacy....hmmm.....doesn't sound shy to me....doesn't sound non-flashy to me....doesn't even seem like a family man to me....
Mr. Einar Aas
E-i-n-a-r A-a-s
Is it just me or is this article some kind of spoof? You know to make some kind of statement of some sort? Political? Too rich? Taxes? Risky investing? Too big too fail? etc etc etc...
Because when I go back to Mr. Einar Aas...it just sounds and looks too much like...well...you know....
IN-YOUR-ASS!!!
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https://citizen.co.za/news/news-world/20...chest-men/
Okay....I guess Mr. Einar Aas is a real guy....but man...anyone with a name like this...it's like he was born to get...you know what....
Maybe, just maybe I watched too many Mel Brooks or Larry David movies and shows.
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(05-11-2019, 01:10 PM)rayray Wrote: Okay....I guess Mr. Einar Aas is a real guy....but man...anyone with a name like this...it's like he was born to get...you know what....
Maybe, just maybe I watched too many Mel Brooks or Larry David movies and shows.
Lol!
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OK, I didn't see assessing more tariffs to other nations coming. Make a new trade deal with Mexico and then threaten huge tariffs a few months later? This is an unpredictable mess with potentially dire consequences.
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(05-31-2019, 04:15 PM)fenders53 Wrote: OK, I didn't see assessing more tariffs to other nations coming. Make a new trade deal with Mexico and then threaten huge tariffs a few months later? This is an unpredictable mess with potentially dire consequences.
With oil prices plunging, tariffs with our largest trading partner is the last thing my state's economy needs. You'd think 38 electoral votes and Ted Cruz's uncharacteristically narrow 2.6% margin of victory in the 2018 Senate race would advise caution as to anything that could upset the economic apple cart. Between that and potentially devastating auto/part manufacturers in swing states that delivered the narrow electoral college victory in 2016, it seems like a pretty boneheaded political move, economics aside.
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We seem to be adult enough to discuss politics and the effect on our investments. I am very much a Republican that couldn't bring myself to vote for Trump for issues not related to the stock market. That's my prerogative and no problem with dissenting opinions on the subject. But he is absolutely a loose cannon more than ever right now. He has staff that knows damn well he is pushing our luck beyond the limit. Props to him for making a better NAFTA deal happen, then he burns them before congress even approves it. China is watching. This is pure idiocy. But thankfully he considers the S&P500 his report card. He'll reverse course when he has to and this is probably a buying opportunity six months from now. I can hope anyway.
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06-02-2019, 07:20 AM
(This post was last modified: 06-02-2019, 07:22 AM by rayray.)
A lot of things can be said about Trump before and after attaining the POTUS nameplate, good and bad.
In the end, people care about themselves first and foremost.
They want to feel safe, secure and that their lives are easier now then before. It doesn't matter if you're on government handouts, have a high income, invest in the stock market, or just live paycheck to paycheck. If the majority of the voters feel like it's moving in the right direction for themselves, however one thinks about it politically or on a personal level the POTUS wins, if not, then the POTUS changes.
Trumps' DNA is he wants to win, to get the best possible deal he can get by negotiating. Like Fenders said, Trump looks at the stock market as his barometer and if I was a gambler I'd bet my last penny that deals start to come to a close the as we get to 2020. He's no dummy, he's looking several moves ahead whether he makes the most voters feel better is another story.
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I'm not a fan. Several days a week I question his IQ, but I appreciate the boldness he has restored to the presidency. We'll see how this ends. All I know for sure is he turned me into the swing trader I never was before because I just don't trust what he might do next month, or tomorrow for that matter. The market is flat for 18 months. My performance is much better than that and it's because I swing trade his tweets with some portion of my port. It's pretty crazy actually.
This is the place for recession opinions I guess. He's biting off a little more than we can chew right now. IMO China is willing to ride this out 6 years if they have to. He probably better let Mexico off with a modest attempt at assisting with immigration control. He's embarrassed he can't deliver the beautiful wall so they better cooperate some.
And I agree with your assessment rayray. Some vote on the greater good, many more vote their wallet. Trump's gang vpotes their EGO and that's a little new. They want him to kick some foreigner butt, and IMO half of his base is too ignorant to know if that he is doing is actually a good idea only a few years down the road. It's not boring to watch. That's for sure.
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06-04-2019, 04:25 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-04-2019, 04:28 PM by Otter.)
It's looking like the votes may be there to override a veto on the proposed Mexico tariffs. Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn has made repeated statements against the tariffs, as have Iowa's Joni Ernst and now freshman Senator from Arizona Martha McSally. Sounds like a message is being sent, giving the administration an opportunity to announce a border security cooperation deal with the Mexican government, and withdraw the tariff proposal without looking like a total cave.
Then again, Louisiana's John Kennedy claims that, during weekend calls with the White House, administration was adamant that the tariffs would happen. Who knows what will happen.
I do know that most economists credit the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act with exacerbating the Great Depression. Hope we don't repeat mistakes of the past. Taxing goods seems like a 19th century solution to 21st century problems.
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My biggest problem with the tariffs is they will likely escalate. 5% on Mexico imports is a rounding error. 25% is not. Mexico will have to put their Army on the border to stop immigration. Then we'd probably bomb them for threatening to invade us. This is so hard to predict. Joni Ernst is from my state. It's a swing state and the farmers have already taken a beating. Some Senators are going to start speaking up if this continues a whole lot longer. I support what we are asking for from China. But all at once is just a bridge too far. They've built their empire with unfair trade agreements and tactics. We need a preliminary deal we revisit in a year so they can shift course slowly. They are not going to kneel down to our Prez. Why would they?
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Bay area home prices are starting to come down. That's a first since last recession.
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Real estate prices can't out pace the economy forever. It probably will be the first sign sign of weakness. I'm not knowledgeable on Bay area pricing but everything I read indicates too frothy. I am not really seeing much sign of recession here, but it almost has to be coming. We are dependent on AG equipment makers healthiness. The farmers are not healthy with the trade war. I think we might see some zero growth quarters soon. Politics and the FED will react. I really don't think we are going to see a crash of epic proportion like 2008-2009 any year soon. I should put my crystal ball away now. 
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