05-11-2021, 09:37 AM
(05-11-2021, 09:14 AM)EricL Wrote:DGI gets boring some years and you have done more than fine with your trading account as near as I can tell. It's all about proper asset allocation IMO, and my opinion is right on this matter. Will it be life changing if your spec gets cut in half and never recovers? I didn't think so.(05-11-2021, 08:53 AM)divmenow Wrote:(05-11-2021, 08:45 AM)EricL Wrote: I don't think we've seen anything yet regarding price drops in high flyers. Many of the high growth stocks are still in the stratosphere as far as valuation goes, and many were run up on playing the out of the money call option game, so there isn't really much solid fundamental support below them.
Stocks like those in streaming, the genomic sector, cloud computing, software, etc. are still trading at 20-30X revenues with no earnings. Keep in mind the massive leverage in the system as well. IIRC margin use is at an all-time high.
You get a fund or two (ARKK maybe) blow like Archegos did a month ago and it's all going to come crashing down hard.
Another day or two sell-off and Friday could get awfully interesting when margin calls go out.
If that's the case then why did you buy all those name like CRSP, and others near the highs if you knew they were over valued I know you sold them, but you took losses on most and then went in those other names like ENPH at much higher levels. You have a itchy trigger finger just like me lol
Of course there over valued. But you buy them for the future. At least ENPH is making money and I didn't buy at $220 lol. I can deal with $109
And you know how I feel about ARKK. Will never buy her funds or ETF's. All she does is add the momo stocks and doesn't care at what price. Its the same names over and over again. Maybe one day she will catch the bottom
I bought CRSP and similar names because they were going higher. I sold them because they started falling, and when I realized there is no way to value them other than a hope for future earnings that may never come.
I added more to ENPH and SEDG because they actually are making money and I think the trend for more solar installations will continue. I was early adding more to them, and they are still a bit expensive, but I am more comfortable holding them during price drops than the genome stocks that had no earnings.
This has been another important lesson to me about momo-investing and trading. I'm not terribly good at it, and I am reminded how I hate the uncertainty that goes with it. Which is why I do it in a smaller side portfolio so I can't screw things up too badly.
DGI is much more aligned with my personality, and I'm thankful it makes up the vast majority of my investments.