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The 30 Best Stocks of the Past 30 Years
#1
Interesting read - Kiplinger Lists the 30 Best Stocks of the Past 30 Years - https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stoc...t-30-years

Excerpt: Number 10
  • Wealth created: $535.3 billion
  • Annualized dollar weighted return: 13.9%
  • Country: U.S.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) cracks the top 10 best stocks of the past 30 years as a three-headed giant. 
Alas, the corporate structure that served investors so well is coming to an end. JNJ is set to split off its consumer health business – the one that makes Tylenol, Listerine and Band Aid – from its pharmaceuticals and medical devices divisions. The breakup is meant to free the faster-growth, higher-margin parts of J&J from the drag of its more mature, less profitable operations.It remains to be seen how that works out, but the old formula of being a sprawling, defensive dividend grower – this Dividend Aristocrat has lifted its payout annually for nearly 60 years – was indisputably a successful one.

Thanks in no small part to dividends, Johnson & Johnson’s total return comes to 4,220% from 1990 to 2020, per YCharts, versus 1,950% for the S&P 500. If you were to exclude dividends from this Dow stock’s performance, JNJ would have gained just 2,020% over those same 30 years.

It would be interesting to read what the 30 Best Stocks of the next 30 Years were, 30 years from now. (of course I will be long gone by then).

- Scoot

.......The most successful company investments in terms of wealth created for shareholders at the decade horizon also involved very substantial peak-to-trough draw-downs. Even those investments that are the most successful at long horizons typically involve painful losses over shorter horizons". - Hendrik Bessembinder (2020)
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#2
Great article, thanks for the link.
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#3
Owned JNJ for 25+yrs. The great years are likely over but I still like it on a dip.
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#4
(12-22-2021, 08:31 PM)fenders53 Wrote: Owned JNJ for 25+yrs.  The great years are likely over but I still like it on a dip.

Or perhaps  with the upcoming split.. The best days may just lay before it. Shy
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#5
(12-22-2021, 08:43 PM)Scooterd Wrote:
(12-22-2021, 08:31 PM)fenders53 Wrote: Owned JNJ for 25+yrs.  The great years are likely over but I still like it on a dip.

Or perhaps  with the upcoming split.. The best days may just lay before it. Shy
It's getting harder with everyone lining up to sue them.  I still own plenty. I think the split is a litigation deflection game but we'll see.
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#6
What is interesting, as I get older and looking to simplify, is that I plugged in every stock on the list that traded for at least 20 years into Portfolio Visualizer and compared it to a simple, non-leveraged Dual Momentum strategy. The best of the best list never had a higher CAGR nor a lower drawdown and has worse Sharpe and Sortino scores as well.

This is eye opening, that even if one had been prescient enough to pick only these best of the best and no other stocks ( no dogs in the portfolio EVER) they would have lagged significantly.

$100,000 starting balance in Nov 1997 would have yielded the following:

Dual Momentum: $8,700,000 with a 21% drawdown No negative year
Best of Best : $6,100,000 with a 35% drawdown 2008 (-25%)
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