VBIN's oil stock thread.

[fenders53]

Fair enough. All commodities are tough. Oil or anything mined are particularly hard to predict in my experience. There are an almost unlimited number of factors. Boom and bust cycles are a certainty. I would concentrate on the supply and demand with your economic thesis. And don't read too many articles with blind faith. Bull articles outnumber bearish 10 to 1. It's been that way since I invested in oil almost 30 years ago. That hurt me more than it ever helped.

I just wouldn't worry much about interest rates, currency exchange rates etc. They are fluid and you can't predict them accurately enough. Even politics often have a different outcome than we expected a few years earlier.