CVX earnings dropped 30% ($3.5 billion vs $4.9 billion)compared to last year's fourth quarter. Keep in mind that this was for Oct-Dec, when the average oil price for that quarter was roughly 70 dollars a barrel. How far will their 2015 first quarter earnings fall if the average oil price in this quarter is 40-50 dollars a barrel?
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Last time crude. was generally between $75-$85 CVX traded at well under $75. IMO crude will rebound pretty easily to $75-$85 range but I'm expecting it to stay there for a prolonged period. All of my energy buys will be operating under that assumption. One thing for sure, most corrections go well beyond what anyone would expect, therefore CVX at under $50 is not out of the question. I'll be holding back some cash in case that kind of dip materializes.
Alex
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Chevron is down 20.55% since I bought it. Ouch. Good time to stock up maybe?