02-02-2021, 08:56 PM
You are turning into the bearish but what if guy. 
There are countless things that can swing energy prices some in the short term. I would base my decisions on oil supply/demand in the midterm. Macro world economy and the reports Erik shares. You are willing to hold so MAR21 isn't overly important, and the market doesn't care much about 2025 either. My lack of trust in the long term will affect how I invest but we don't share the same thesis which is OK.
There are countless things that can swing energy prices some in the short term. I would base my decisions on oil supply/demand in the midterm. Macro world economy and the reports Erik shares. You are willing to hold so MAR21 isn't overly important, and the market doesn't care much about 2025 either. My lack of trust in the long term will affect how I invest but we don't share the same thesis which is OK.